Beginner’s Guide to Commodity Trading

commodities – gold, coffee, cotton, copper

Learn how commodity trading works, what drives prices, how to use seasonality, and what risks are involved. Without commodities, the economy would grind to a halt.


When people talk about markets, most think of big tech stocks or cryptocurrencies. But commodities – oil, gold, copper, wheat, coffee – often move the global economy far more than many investors realise. Their prices influence inflation, food costs, industrial output and national energy security.

That is why commodities are fascinating for traders too. It is a dynamic market that reacts to weather, geopolitics, seasonality and investor sentiment. Unlike equities, where a price can stagnate for years, commodity markets regularly go through periods of heightened volatility – and that volatility creates trading opportunities.

Commodities as a mirror of the economy

It is said that if you want to gauge the health of the world economy, look not at the S&P 500 but at oil and copper. Oil is the lifeblood of modern industry, and copper is a core metal in construction and manufacturing. Their prices react to corporate demand, government stimulus and investor mood.

Gold, by contrast, has long been seen as a safe haven. When uncertainty rises, investors park capital in gold to protect purchasing power. In more buoyant times, agricultural commodities or industrial metals may be more interesting.

In short, commodities are not only an investment instrument but also an indicator of the global economy’s health.

Why commodities attract traders

What makes the commodity market appealing is its constant movement and cycles. For example:

  • Oil tends to see stronger demand in summer, when petrol consumption rises during the holiday season.
  • Natural gas often becomes more volatile in winter as heating demand surges.
  • Agricultural crops have defined planting and harvest periods that regularly trigger price moves.
  • Gold can be active during economic uncertainty, inflation or geopolitical tension.

For traders this means there is usually a commodity worth watching every quarter. The risk does not disappear – but the market offers interesting opportunities for those who follow it actively.

Commodity CFDs and market access

A few decades ago, commodity markets were the domain of big players – producers, miners, hedge funds. Today it is different. Thanks to instruments such as CFDs (Contracts for Difference), almost anyone can access commodity markets with smaller capital. CFDs allow you to speculate on rising and falling prices, unlike traditional shares where investors typically profit only when prices go up.

It is important to stress that CFDs use leverage, which amplifies potential gains and losses. Regulators such as ESMA and the UK’s FCA require brokers to display risk warnings that most retail accounts lose money when trading CFDs.

On the other hand, the ability to trade with modest capital lets retail traders “get a feel for the market”, test strategies and gain experience that used to be reserved for professionals.

Trade commodity CFDs with XTB

46% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider.

Analysis, not advice

This article is not investment advice. It is an analytical look at what makes commodity markets interesting. We will outline the main price drivers, which commodities are most traded, and why almost every season of the year brings its own opportunity.

If you are looking for a dynamic market where things keep moving, commodities may be a segment worth your attention. Always remember – every opportunity has a flip side called risk.

How commodities work

When you hear “commodity”, many people think of gold or oil. But the term is much broader – it is any standardised material or product that can be traded on an exchange. The key is standardisation: every contract has precise parameters. For example, “1,000 bushels of corn of a specified grade” or “100 troy ounces of gold with 99.5% purity”. That way it does not matter whether the gold comes from Canada or Australia – for exchange trading it is the same gold.

Commodity groups

Commodities are usually grouped into several main categories:

  • Energy – Brent and WTI crude, natural gas, coal. Without them, transport and industry would not run.
  • Metals – precious (gold, silver, platinum) and industrial (copper, aluminium, nickel). These reflect manufacturing activity, investment sentiment and the shift to new technologies (for example, electric vehicles increase demand for copper and lithium).
  • Agricultural products – grains (wheat, corn, soybeans) and softs such as coffee, cocoa, sugar or cotton. Their prices are tied to harvests, weather and household consumption.

Where they are traded

Historic centres of commodity trading include the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT). In Europe, the London Metal Exchange (LME) sets benchmark prices for metals worldwide. Energy commodities are often traded on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE).

These exchanges are global – the prices set there are watched by investors, producers and consumers across Asia, Europe and the Americas.

Trading instruments

Originally, commodities were traded mainly by producers and large buyers who wanted to hedge against price swings. The primary tool was futures contracts – agreements to buy or sell a commodity in the future at a set price.

Today there are far more speculators than hedgers. For smaller traders, CFDs (Contracts for Difference) are especially relevant. They allow you to:

  • Trade without physical delivery (no one will ship you barrels of oil).
  • Speculate on both rising and falling prices.
  • Enter trades with smaller capital thanks to leverage.

Of course, leverage is a double‑edged sword. Small moves can translate into meaningful percentage gains, but losses can scale as well. This is why CFDs are better suited as a speculative and training tool than for long‑term investing.

Seasonality and cycles

A major feature of commodities is their seasonal nature. Broadly:

  • Natural gas often peaks in the winter months.
  • Agricultural crops react to planting and harvest windows.
  • Oil has a summer “driving season” in the US, when petrol demand increases.
  • Gold tends to awaken during periods of uncertainty, often around year‑end or during crises.

For traders this means that, unlike some shares where you might wait months for a move, commodities cycle regularly. That creates scope to look for opportunities throughout the year.

Summary

Commodities sit at the crossroads of the real economy and financial speculation. Prices are formed on exchanges but reflect weather, geopolitics and the mood of consumers and investors. Thanks to modern tools such as CFDs, anyone can look under the lid of the global economy and follow gold, oil, copper or coffee.

Remember: every opportunity in commodities comes with risk. The mix of volatility, seasonality and a wide choice of assets is what makes commodities one of the most dynamic asset classes to watch.

What drives commodity prices

Commodity prices can change in seconds. Where equities often respond more slowly to earnings news, commodity markets reflect the real‑time balance of supply and demand. Because they underpin the global economy, every move shows.

For traders it is crucial to know what sits behind price moves. The main areas include:

1. Supply and demand – the primary engine

Obvious at first glance, but particularly visible in commodities.

  • Supply depends on production (oil output, grain harvests, metal mining). If production is cut – for example, OPEC limits oil output – oil prices tend to rise.
  • Demand follows consumption. When the economy expands, demand for copper, oil and grains increases. In recessions, demand falls, and prices usually follow.

👉 Practical example: In 2020, during the Covid‑19 pandemic, oil demand collapsed so sharply that prices briefly traded below zero. It highlighted how closely oil is tied to the business cycle.

2. Macro factors and monetary policy

Commodities are global, and the US dollar plays a central role because most contracts are denominated in USD.

  • A stronger dollar → commodities become more expensive for non‑USD buyers → prices tend to fall.
  • A weaker dollar → commodities are cheaper → demand rises → prices tend to climb.

Inflation and interest rates also matter:

  • In inflationary periods, investors often turn to gold as a store of value.
  • Higher interest rates can weigh on commodity prices as investors favour other assets (bonds, cash).

👉 Example: In 2021–2022, as inflation surged, both gold and oil posted strong gains.

3. Geopolitics and policy decisions

Geopolitical events can move commodity prices within hours.

  • Conflict in the Middle East often triggers rising oil prices.
  • Sanctions on Russia affected natural gas and grain markets.
  • OPEC+ production decisions can influence oil more than demand alone.

👉 Practical example: In 2022, after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, wheat prices briefly jumped by more than 50% because Ukraine is a major global exporter.

4. Weather and climate

No other asset class reacts to weather as strongly as agricultural commodities.

  • Droughts, floods, hurricanes → damage crops and reduce supply.
  • Mild winters → lower demand for natural gas.
  • Long‑term climate change → shifts growing regions (for example, coffee moving to higher elevations).

👉 Example: El Niño regularly affects cocoa, coffee and sugar by altering rainfall and temperatures in growing regions.

5. Technology and innovation

Technology reshapes commodity markets.

  • The US shale revolution cut reliance on imported oil and shifted the global balance.
  • Electric vehicles and batteries push demand for copper, nickel, cobalt and lithium.
  • Renewables change demand patterns for fossil fuels.

👉 Example: The rise of EVs in China has lifted copper consumption in recent years, helping the metal reach record highs.

6. Seasonality

Commodities exhibit repeating cycles.

  • Oil – higher demand in summer (driving season) and in winter (heating).
  • Natural gas – winter brings higher consumption; summer tends to be less volatile.
  • Agricultural crops – spring and summer (planting and yield estimates) plus autumn (harvest).
  • Gold – often more active around year‑end as investors rebalance portfolios.

👉 Thanks to these cycles, every season has “its” commodity that becomes attractive for active traders.

Summary

Commodity prices are not random. They reflect a complex mix of economic, political, technological and natural forces. That is what makes them unique.

For traders, one thing follows: the commodity market never sleeps. Any day can bring an event that moves gold, oil or coffee. Those who follow and understand these drivers have a better chance of judging direction.

Of course, opportunity comes with risk. But the constant change and dynamism are why commodities attract active traders who want markets that move.

Trade commodity CFDs with XTB

46% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider.

Most‑traded commodities

The commodity market offers a wide range of assets, but a handful clearly dominate: crude oil (WTI and Brent), natural gas, gold, silver, copper, corn, wheat, coffee and sugar. These trade in large daily volumes and their prices react to the global economy as well as seasonal and regional factors.

Oil is a cornerstone of the world economy; gold and silver are traditional safe havens in uncertain times; copper tracks industrial activity; and agricultural commodities like corn and wheat depend heavily on weather and harvests. Coffee and sugar show how global demand and regional production affect everyday consumer goods.

For an overview and details, see the most‑traded global commodities.

Seasonality and opportunities through the year

One reason commodities are popular with traders is their pronounced seasonality. Equities and currencies have cycles too, but with commodities it often shows clearly on charts year after year. That is why they can be interesting if you seek active markets throughout the year.

Below is an overview of key commodities and when they are usually most interesting:

1. Winter (January – March)

  • Gold: the start of the year often brings increased interest. Investors rebalance portfolios, and after Christmas and around Chinese New Year, physical demand in Asia rises.
  • Natural gas: cold winter months bring peak heating demand, strongly affecting prices. A cold snap or forecasts of a long winter can move the market quickly.
  • Wheat: this is when the condition of winter crops is monitored. Any risk of frost or drought can affect expected yields.

2. Spring (April – June)

  • Corn and soybeans: planting begins. Weather updates – enough moisture or looming drought – feed directly into yield expectations and volatility.
  • Oil: the US “driving season” approaches, typically lifting petrol demand and sometimes prices.
  • Coffee: weather in Brazil, the world’s largest producer, is crucial. Frost risks in coffee regions can push prices sharply higher.

3. Summer (July – September)

  • Oil: peak travel season – strong demand for petrol and jet fuel. Hurricane season in the Gulf of Mexico can disrupt production and support prices.
  • Corn and wheat: fields are maturing, so traders watch crop conditions. Each harvest estimate (especially in the US) can trigger large price moves.
  • Cocoa: hot weather in West Africa (Côte d’Ivoire, Ghana) affects key growing regions. Any harvest issues show up quickly in prices.

4. Autumn (October – December)

  • Corn, wheat, soybeans: harvest season brings high volatility as actual yields are compared with expectations.
  • Sugar: the cane harvest in Brazil is pivotal. Delays or smaller crops can move prices fast.
  • Gold and silver: interest in precious metals often rises into year‑end, partly for portfolio hedging and partly due to demand in India during the wedding and festival season.

All‑year commodities

  • Gold: beyond seasonal peaks, it responds to macro news (inflation, geopolitics, central banks) year‑round.
  • Oil: despite seasonality, its geopolitical importance keeps it volatile most of the year.
  • Silver and copper: they often track industrial activity and market sentiment, so they trade actively throughout the year.

Summary

Viewed through seasonality, every period of the year has a commodity with interesting setups. Winter favours gas and gold, spring the grains and coffee, summer oil and cocoa, autumn sugar and harvests. In between, oil and gold can move markets at any time.

Seasonal tendencies are not guarantees. Weather, geopolitics and the business cycle can make any year different. That very dynamism is why commodities attract active traders – there is always something worth watching.

Risks of trading commodities: is it worth it?

Although commodities offer unique opportunities and attract traders worldwide, you must consider the other side. Every opportunity involves risk.

1. Volatility is both an opportunity and a threat

Commodity prices can move several percent in a single day. Weather headlines, geopolitical tension or an OPEC decision can spark sharp moves. That is useful for active traders because markets are moving – but it also means losses can come as quickly as gains.

2. Trading via CFDs

Many investors access commodities through CFDs (Contracts for Difference). CFDs let you take positions with relatively small capital and speculate on both rising and falling prices. They use leverage, which can magnify profits – and losses. Risk management, stop‑loss orders and realistic position sizing are essential.

3. Regulation and investor protection

In the European Union, CFD trading falls under ESMA rules, and in the UK under the FCA. Regulators set leverage limits and require brokers to display risk warnings such as: “X% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs.”

4. Psychology and discipline

Beyond market knowledge, psychology is critical. Emotions – fear and greed – can influence decisions more than charts and models. Successful traders devote as much attention to discipline as to strategy.

Why trade commodities with CFDs

Flexibility and access

Trading commodities via CFDs (Contracts for Difference) gives investors a simpler way to access these markets compared with buying physical commodities or futures. There is no need to deal with storage or logistics. CFDs let you speculate on price moves with relatively small capital by using leverage. You control a larger position with a smaller deposit, which increases potential returns but also risks.

Trading rising and falling markets

A key advantage of CFDs is the ability to profit from both rising and falling prices. While traditional commodity investing typically means buying and holding in hope of a price rise, CFDs allow you to open short positions and benefit from declines. This can be useful in volatile or uncertain periods when prices drop sharply. You can aim for returns regardless of market direction.

Diversifying a portfolio

Commodities have historically shown low correlation with equities and bonds, making them useful for portfolio diversification. With CFDs you can add exposure to oil, natural gas, precious metals or agricultural products without opening specialised exchange accounts. Diversification can help reduce overall portfolio risk and provide inflation protection, as commodity prices often rise during inflationary periods.

Lower entry costs and transparency

Unlike direct investments in commodity futures, which often require substantial capital and specific exchange requirements, commodity CFDs have a lower entry barrier. You can start with small amounts and scale up. Modern CFD platforms offer clear interfaces with real‑time pricing, technical indicators and risk‑management tools such as stop‑loss and take‑profit orders, making trading accessible to both beginners and experienced traders.

Example: trading oil

oil buy order

This example is based on the values shown on the image to the left. Leverage and prices can change over time.

Say you buy an oil CFD equivalent to 20 barrels (1 barrel = 159 litres; 20 barrels = 3,180 litres). If you bought without leverage, 20 barrels would cost USD 1,306 (about GBP 918). With 1:10 leverage, you would need only USD 130.60 to open the trade.

The broker provides the rest via margin financing. Because commodity prices typically do not change by extreme amounts in a day, the required margin is designed to cover potential losses on normal moves.

If you buy 20 barrels at USD 65.3 per barrel (total notional USD 1,306) and later sell at USD 70 (total USD 1,400), your profit is USD 1,400 − USD 1,306 = USD 94. The reverse is also true: you can incur a loss if the price falls.

With XTB you cannot lose more than your deposit; your position would be closed automatically before losses exceed your margin, which in this example was USD 130.60.

Beyond the difference between the buy and sell price, you also pay an overnight financing charge. In some cases the broker pays you for holding the position. For example, for oil the “Overnight financing” rate in this illustration was −0.0222% for a long position and −0.0216% for a short position.

If any part of this example is still unclear, the simplest approach is to open a demo * account and try trading for free. Opening a demo account takes about half a minute.* 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider.

Trade commodity CFDs with XTB

46% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider.

Summary of the article

Commodities are one of the most dynamic asset classes. Their prices move under the influence of many factors – from macro data and geopolitics to weather and seasonal cycles. This creates opportunities almost year‑round: gold and gas in winter, corn and coffee in spring, oil in summer, grains and sugar in autumn.

At the same time, every opportunity comes with risk. Trading commodities – especially via CFDs – involves leverage that can multiply both gains and losses. Anyone entering the market should proceed carefully, test strategies with smaller positions and remember that neither analysis nor seasonal patterns guarantee future results.

If you can follow the market, understand the context and treat risk with respect, commodities offer a fascinating way to engage with the global economy in real time – a key reason they remain among the most interesting tools for modern trading.

Beginner’s Guide to Commodity Trading

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